Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navbahor Namangan vs OKMK

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Jiyanov R.
Assist: Gulomov A.
20' Event
Tursunkulov K.
31' Event
Norchaev K.
Assist: Kholmatov D.

AI Match Summary

OKMK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Navbahor Namangan
39%
Draws
30%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • OKMK have won more games recently than Navbahor Namangan.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 20%
OKMK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan OKMK
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs OKMK
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Navbahor Namangan
3:1
Jun 21, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs OKMK
3:0
Aug 12, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Navbahor Namangan
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs OKMK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jiyanov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norchaev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursunkulov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmonov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 32 / 100
OKMK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

OKMK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Navbahor Namangan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Navbahor Namangan scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS OKMK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Navbahor Namangan

(Home)
17 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 3
OKMK
04 May
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0
Navbahor Namangan
29 Apr
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Navbahor Namangan
23 Apr
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Sogdiana
17 Apr
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
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OKMK

(Away)
17 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 3
OKMK
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
27 Apr
OKMK
2 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
23 Apr
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2
OKMK
17 Apr
OKMK
3 : 2
Buxoro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona13111132:534
2Pakhtakor1393125:1430
3Buxoro1372417:1323
4OKMK1364321:1722
5Navbahor Namangan1363417:1221
6Lok. Tashkent1354418:1819
7Bunyodkor1361614:1519
8Nasaf Qarshi1346316:1318
9Andijan1352620:1617
10Din. Samarkand1352621:2317
11Termez Surkhon1343614:2115
12Qizilqum1342710:1814
13Xorazm Urganch1334610:1713
14Sogdiana1333722:3012
15Kokand 19121325611:2011
16Mashal Muborak1311116:224
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)