Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navbahor Namangan vs Metallurg Bekabad

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2024 Markaziy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Urinboev Z.
44'
Ismoilov A.
51'
Sattorov K.

AI Match Summary

Navbahor Namangan host Metallurg Bekabad in the Super League 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Navbahor Namangan have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Metallurg Bekabad's 2 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Navbahor Namangan slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2024, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Navbahor Namangan to edge this. Navbahor Namangan in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Navbahor Namangan
28%
Draws
50%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Navbahor Namangan (1.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Metallurg Bekabad.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 17%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:0
May 24, 2024 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Navbahor Namangan
1:1
Aug 4, 2023 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Navbahor Namangan
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Metallurg Bekabad
3:0
Nov 7, 2022 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Djokic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 23 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Metallurg Bekabad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Metallurg Bekabad let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Navbahor Namangan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Metallurg Bekabad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS Metallurg Bekabad
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nasaf Qarshi26157435:1852
2OKMK26145740:2947
3Navbahor Namangan261110542:3143
4Sogdiana26127741:2943
5Neftchi Fargona261110532:2443
6Pakhtakor261151042:3738
7Termez Surkhon261061030:3136
8Din. Samarkand26951235:3832
9Andijan26612836:3630
10Bunyodkor26791027:3830
11Qizilqum26691125:3427
12Olympic26671322:3825
13Metallurg Bekabad26314922:3023
14Lok. Tashkent26561528:4421