Sport Picks
Navbahor Namangan vs Nasaf Qarshi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan 
Match Events
19'
19'
Teidi B.
27'
27'
Rustamov O.
45'
45'
Gaybullaev G.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Navbahor Namangan and Nasaf Qarshi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navbahor Namangan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Navbahor Namangan carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 20%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navbahor Namangan | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
Navbahor Namangan vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
Aug 21, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
May 4, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan
0:0
Oct 30, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:0
Jun 15, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navbahor Namangan 32 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navbahor Namangan Nasaf Qarshi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navbahor Namangan scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Navbahor Namangan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Nasaf Qarshi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Navbahor Namangan VS Nasaf Qarshi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Navbahor Namangan
(Home) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
4 : 3 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
Nasaf Qarshi
(Away) 09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
