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Pelister

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Navbahor Namangan play Pelister in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Navbahor Namangan averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Pelister averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Navbahor Namangan won 1, Pelister won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Navbahor Namangan and 1.31 for Pelister. This points to a Navbahor Namangan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Navbahor Namangan

33%

Draws

28%

Pelister

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Navbahor Namangan picked up more points recently compared to Pelister.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 18%

Pelister Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Navbahor Namangan	Pelister
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	8	8
Draws	9	10
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	0.86	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly

Navbahor Namangan vs Pelister

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 39 / 100

Pelister 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Navbahor Namangan Pelister

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Navbahor Namangan or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Navbahor Namangan attacking → ← attacking Pelister

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Pelister let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Navbahor Namangan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pelister lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 34

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88