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Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Kenzhaboev I. In: Jurakuziev O.
Out: Kenzhaboev I.
15' Event
Komilov D.
Assist: Jgerenaia G.
19' Event
Kumburovic N.
Assist: Jigauri J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Navbahor Namangan
20%
Draws
35%
Qizilqum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Qizilqum haven't matched Navbahor Namangan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Navbahor Namangan a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Qizilqum
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum
1:0
May 4, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Navbahor Namangan
3:2
Nov 22, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Navbahor Namangan
1:5
Jun 20, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Komilov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Qizilqum Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumburovic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 50 / 100
Qizilqum 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Qizilqum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Navbahor Namangan scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Navbahor Namangan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Qizilqum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS Qizilqum
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Navbahor Namangan

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6

Qizilqum

(Away)
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0
Termez Surkhon
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 23 9 3 11 23:30 30
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 23 7 6 10 19:28 27
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)