Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Alex Fernandes
28'
Ruziev K.
45'
Kati K.

AI Match Summary

Navbahor Namangan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navbahor Namangan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Navbahor Namangan
6%
Draws
4%
Termez Surkhon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Termez Surkhon lately — more wins on the board than Navbahor Namangan.
  • Win probability leans Navbahor Namangan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Termez Surkhon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Navbahor Namangan
1:0
Aug 26, 2024 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Fernandes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Termez Surkhon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 95 / 100
Termez Surkhon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Termez Surkhon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Termez Surkhon conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Navbahor Namangan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Termez Surkhon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS Termez Surkhon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210