Sport Picks
Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm Urganch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan 
Match Events
16'
16'
Norchaev K.
Assist: Jiyanov R.
36'
36'
Norchaev K.
Assist: Usmonov M.
41'
41'
Norchaev K.
Assist: Adkhamzoda U.
AI Match Summary
Navbahor Namangan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navbahor Namangan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navbahor Namangan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Navbahor Namangan lately — more wins on the board than Xorazm Urganch.
- Navbahor Namangan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Navbahor Namangan have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navbahor Namangan | Xorazm Urganch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm Urganch
5:1
Oct 3, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Navbahor Namangan
1:1
Jul 2, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Xorazm Urganch vs Navbahor Namangan
1:3
May 11, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Mar 25, 2017 Uzbekistan Cup
Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm Urganch
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Navbahor Namangan Compare
Top Goalscorer Norchaev K.
4 Goals Assists Leader Jiyanov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdukhamidov R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navbahor Namangan 95 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navbahor Namangan Xorazm Urganch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navbahor Namangan found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Navbahor Namangan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Xorazm Urganch conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Navbahor Namangan VS Xorazm Urganch
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Navbahor Namangan
(Home) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
4 : 3 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
Xorazm Urganch
(Away) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
