Sport Picks
Navi Vutiselts vs Tallinna Kalev III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Navi Vutiselts advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navi Vutiselts
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Navi Vutiselts come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev III on wins alone.
- Model gives Navi Vutiselts a 57% chance of winning this.
- Navi Vutiselts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Navi Vutiselts, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Navi Vutiselts Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev III Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navi Vutiselts | Tallinna Kalev III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 19 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 3.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2015 Estonian Cup
Navi Vutiselts vs Tallinna Kalev III
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navi Vutiselts 83 / 100
Tallinna Kalev III 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navi Vutiselts Tallinna Kalev III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navi Vutiselts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna Kalev III let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Navi Vutiselts found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (15 games).
Difficult form: Tallinna Kalev III registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Navi Vutiselts VS Tallinna Kalev III
1.57 Goals Scored 1.38
2.86 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Navi Vutiselts
(Home) 21 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
2 : 4 Rada Kuusalu
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0 Navi Vutiselts
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7 Torva JK
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
05 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 2 Navi Vutiselts
Page 1 of 3
21 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
2 : 4 Rada Kuusalu
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7 Torva JK
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
27 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
4 : 0 Valga Warrior
02 Jul
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 3 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 2
Tallinna Kalev III
(Away) 03 Sept
Tallinna Kalev III
1 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
26 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
9 : 0 EstHam United
19 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 6 Tabasalu
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 10 Legion
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
Page 1 of 4
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
06 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 3 Tallinna Kalev III
12 Jun
Tammeka Tartu IV
0 : 4 Tallinna Kalev III
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
05 Aug
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Lasnamae 1
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Tallinna Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Kalju III 3
Tartu Ulikool 2
TBD -
Otepaa -
Lootos FCR -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 5
Retro 7
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Igiliikur 1
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 9
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Rapla 2
Metropool Parnu 6
Kuressaare 20
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
IceBears 1
SK Taaksi 10
JK Poseidon 3
Rumori Calcio 2
TBD -
Santos Tartu -
Torva JK 7
Raasiku Valla 1
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Fellin -
TBD -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Valga Warrior 0
Navi Vutiselts 4
Parnu Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Maardu United 4
Narva United 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
TBD -
Oismae Torm -
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Flora U19 0
Kose 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Marjamaa 2
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
TBD -
Raudteetoolised 0
Paide Linnameeskond 31
Merkuur Tartu -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker 3
Rada Kuusalu 4
Olympic Tallinn 2
Pedajamae 0
Kadakas 0
Levadia 8
Tulevik 2
Keila JK 1
Kusimark 1
Kaitseliit 12
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Castovanni Eagles 0
Virtsu 0
FCI Tallinn 36
Narva 14
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Twister Tallinn 2
Imavere Forss 6
Tallinn CF 4
Elva 3
TBD -
Kalju -
Tallinn Forza 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tabasalu 1
Roosu 4
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Tabivere -
TBD -
Helios 0
Pirita 5
Maardu Starbunker II -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Tallinna Depoo 2
Moe 0
Lelle 1
Like & Share 2
Jogeva Wolves 1
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Soccernet 2
Eston Villa 2
FC Tartu 1
TBD -
Legion -
Bronx Wood 5
Roosad Pantrid 0
TBD -
Viimsi MRJK -
1/32-finals
Flora 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Kalju III 4
Otepaa 1
Lootos FCR 0
Retro 12
Nomme Utd 4
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 1
Metropool Parnu 4
Kuressaare 4
SK Taaksi 2
JK Poseidon 0
Santos Tartu 11
Torva JK 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Fellin 1
SK EPMU Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Loo JK 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Navi Vutiselts 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu United 1
FCI Tallinn II 4
Viimsi JK 6
Oismae Torm 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Sillamae Kalev 6
Marjamaa 1
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Merkuur Tartu 4
Rada Kuusalu 2
Olympic Tallinn 0
Levadia 14
Tulevik 7
Kaitseliit 0
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Narva 12
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinn CF 0
Kalju 3
Tallinn Forza 7
Roosu 2
Ambla 0
Rakvere 10
Tabivere 1
Pirita 0
Maardu Starbunker II 0
Vaatsa Vald 3
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Lelle 0
Like & Share 2
Soccernet 4
Eston Villa 5
Legion 1
Bronx Wood 1
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/16-finals
Flora 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kalju III 1
Retro 2
Nomme Utd 8
Metropool Parnu 0
Kuressaare 3
Santos Tartu 4
Torva JK 2
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Navi Vutiselts 3
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Sillamae Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Merkuur Tartu 1
Levadia 13
Tulevik 2
FCI Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Kalju 2
Tallinn Forza 4
Rakvere 0
Tabivere 4
Vaatsa Vald 7
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Soccernet 0
Eston Villa 2
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/8-finals
Flora 17
Retro 0
Nomme Utd 2
Santos Tartu 3
Torva JK 7
Navi Vutiselts 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 0
Tulevik 0
Kalju 5
Tallinn Forza 6
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi MRJK 4
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Santos Tartu 1
Torva JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Kalju 0
Tallinn Forza 1
Viimsi MRJK 6
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Viimsi MRJK 0
Final
Flora 3
Sillamae Kalev 0
