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Navia vs Tuilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Navia
20%
Draws
40%
Tuilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tuilla have won more games recently than Navia.
  • Tuilla are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Navia Clean Sheet 20%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navia Tuilla
Matches Played 34 41
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.91 1.02
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Navia
2:1
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Tuilla
2:2
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Tuilla
1:1
Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Navia
2:1
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Navia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navia 12 / 100
Tuilla 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navia Tuilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuilla let in goals in 76% of their last 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Tuilla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Navia found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Tuilla
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navia

(Home)
19 May
Navia
1 : 5
L Entregu CF
11 May
Atletico de Lugones
1 : 1
Navia
05 May
Navia
1 : 3
Condal
28 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Navia
21 Apr
Navia
0 : 3
Llanes
Page 1 of 7

Tuilla

(Away)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caudal Deportivo 38 30 3 5 93:21 93
2 Real Aviles 38 28 5 5 85:27 89
3 Langreo 38 21 9 8 61:29 72
4 Tuilla 38 19 8 11 50:38 65
5 Condal 38 17 11 10 48:37 62
6 Candas CF 38 17 10 11 52:41 61
7 Luarca 38 15 11 12 37:40 56
8 Universidad Oviedo 38 17 5 16 59:54 56
9 Llanes 38 14 13 11 46:41 55
10 Cudillero 38 15 10 13 53:40 55
11 Covadonga 38 14 10 14 66:55 52
12 Navia 38 12 10 16 36:55 46
13 Gijon Industrial 38 11 12 15 35:52 45
14 Lealtad 38 14 2 22 42:63 44
15 Navarro 38 12 6 20 44:60 42
16 Union Club Ceares 38 12 4 22 40:62 40
17 Real Oviedo B 38 10 10 18 40:55 40
18 Nalon CF 38 10 7 21 42:72 37
19 Pumarin 38 8 13 17 31:51 37
20 SD Colloto 38 3 3 32 31:98 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)