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Naviraiense vs Bataguassu Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Naviraiense
30%
Draws
23%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Bataguassu haven't matched Naviraiense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Naviraiense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Naviraiense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bataguassu, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bataguassu have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 18%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naviraiense Bataguassu
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.43 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Bataguassu
0:4
Mar 15, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Naviraiense
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Naviraiense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense 36 / 100
Bataguassu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naviraiense Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naviraiense scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Bataguassu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Naviraiense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naviraiense VS Bataguassu
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naviraiense

(Home)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS -
TBD -
Corumbaense 3
Dourados 1
Naviraiense -
TBD -
Ivinhema 5
Bataguassu 6
Semi-finals
Operario MS 4
Corumbaense 2
Naviraiense 1
Bataguassu 4
Final
Operario MS 5
Bataguassu 2