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Naviraiense vs Ivinhema

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Thiaguinho
90' Event
Dodo
(Penalty)
90'
Gouveia D.

AI Match Summary

Ivinhema in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ivinhema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Naviraiense
28%
Draws
22%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ivinhema haven't matched Naviraiense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Naviraiense a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 68%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naviraiense Ivinhema
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Ivinhema
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Ivinhema
0:2
Mar 26, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Ivinhema
3:1
Feb 25, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Naviraiense
1:1
Mar 13, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Naviraiense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naviraiense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ivinhema Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense 59 / 100
Ivinhema 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naviraiense Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Naviraiense scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Naviraiense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naviraiense VS Ivinhema
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naviraiense

(Home)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
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Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivinhema961221:719
2Pantanal953117:718
3Dourados953117:718
4Operario MS951311:1216
5Costa Rica935114:1014
6Aguia Negra932414:1411
7Naviraiense923411:149
8Corumbaense92258:148
9Coxim92167:187
10Aquidauanense911712:294
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)