Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024

Misto

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naviraiense host Misto in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Misto have shipped 0.67 goals a game lately, while Naviraiense have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Naviraiense slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 20, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.90 - 1.04) back Naviraiense to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Naviraiense

30%

Draws

34%

Misto

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Naviraiense carry the better recent record into this one.
Naviraiense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Naviraiense Clean Sheet 20%

Misto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naviraiense	Misto
Matches Played	28	9
Wins	13	2
Draws	9	5
Losses	6	2
Goals Scored	1.13	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Naviraiense vs Misto

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Sep 14, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Misto vs Naviraiense

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense 36 / 100

Misto 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naviraiense Misto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naviraiense found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Naviraiense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Misto conceded in 44% of 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Naviraiense VS Misto

1.13 Goals Scored 0.83

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67

88% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 33%

13% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Naviraiense	8	5	3	0	15:3	18
2	Aguia Negra	8	4	3	1	10:6	15
3	7 de Setembro	8	3	2	3	12:15	11
4	Comercial MS	8	2	1	5	11:17	7
5	Operario AC	8	0	3	5	6:13	3
6	Misto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0