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Naviraiense vs Misto

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Naviraiense Logo

Naviraiense

Sun, Oct 20, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Misto Logo

Misto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naviraiense host Misto in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Misto have shipped 0.7 goals a game lately, while Naviraiense have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Naviraiense slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 20, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.21) back Naviraiense to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Naviraiense
35%
Draws
32%
Misto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Naviraiense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 20%
Misto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naviraiense Misto
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Naviraiense vs Misto
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Naviraiense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense 36 / 100
Misto 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naviraiense Misto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Misto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naviraiense found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Naviraiense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Misto conceded in 40% of 10 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Naviraiense VS Misto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Naviraiense

(Home)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

Misto

(Away)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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