Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naxara vs CD Puertollano

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Puertollano in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Naxara
35%
Draws
52%
CD Puertollano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Puertollano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Puertollano have won more games recently than Naxara.
  • Model gives CD Puertollano a 52% chance of winning this.
  • CD Puertollano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Puertollano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Naxara Clean Sheet 20%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxara CD Puertollano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
CD Puertollano vs Naxara
3:1
Jun 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Naxara vs CD Puertollano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxara 10 / 100
CD Puertollano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxara CD Puertollano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Puertollano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naxara's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Puertollano has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Naxara stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naxara VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxara

(Home)
27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0
Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

CD Puertollano

(Away)
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0
CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0
Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1
CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1
Toledo 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tenerife B 4
Cerceda 1
TBD -
Varea -
San Sebastian Reyes 3
CD Marino 0
TBD -
Somozas -
Pontevedra 3
Portugalete 2
TBD -
Atletico Granadilla -
Naxara 3
CD Boiro 1
TBD -
CD Puertollano -
Jerez CF 0
Arenas Getxo 4
TBD -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
Aguilas FC 1
Union Club Ceares 2
TBD -
Trival Valderas -
Orihuela 2
Union Adarve 0
TBD -
Izarra -
Anguiano 2
Pena Deportiva 1
TBD -
Betis B -
Formentera 1
Villarrobledo 1
Paterna 2
Montanesa 5
Arandina 2
CD Alcala 0
TBD -
Eldense -
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 0
AD San Juan 1
Real Avila 0
Merida UD 3
UD Badajoz 2
Haro Deportivo 3
Atletico Monzon 0
Langreo 3
CE Europa 1
Mutilvera 0
Praviano 1
Socuellamos 3
UM Escobedo 1
Rayo Vallecano B 9
Terrassa 0
Linares 1
AD Ceuta 1
CD Laredo 3
Alaves B 3
Teruel 4
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 0
Mensajero 4
Binissalem 1
Atletico Astorga 3
SD Ejea 1
Malaga B 2
UD Almansa 0
San Roque de Lepe 2
Loja 1
Alzira 1
Osasuna B 2
Yeclano 3
Semi-finals
Tenerife B 6
Varea 5
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Somozas 3
Pontevedra 4
Atletico Granadilla 0
Naxara 1
CD Puertollano 4
Arenas Getxo 4
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 2
Union Club Ceares 2
Trival Valderas 5
Orihuela 3
Izarra 0
Anguiano 2
Betis B 4
Formentera 3
Montanesa 3
Arandina 0
Eldense 2
AD San Juan 1
Merida UD 2
Haro Deportivo 1
Langreo 2
CE Europa 0
Socuellamos 2
Rayo Vallecano B 0
Linares 2
CD Laredo 3
Teruel 1
Mensajero 4
Atletico Astorga 5
Malaga B 2
San Roque de Lepe 4
Alzira 4
Yeclano 2
Final
Tenerife B 2
Somozas 5
Pontevedra 0
CD Puertollano 2
Arenas Getxo 1
Trival Valderas 3
Orihuela 3
Betis B 4
Formentera 1
Eldense 2
Merida UD 0
Langreo 1
Socuellamos 2
Linares 1
CD Laredo 2
Atletico Astorga 2
San Roque de Lepe 3
Alzira 2