Sport Picks
Naxara vs San Marcial Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Naxara in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Marcial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Naxara lately — more wins on the board than San Marcial.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on San Marcial taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Naxara have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Naxara Clean Sheet 17%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naxara | San Marcial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs San Marcial
5:0
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Naxara
0:4
Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs San Marcial
4:0
Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Naxara
1:4
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs San Marcial
6:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naxara 20 / 100
San Marcial 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naxara San Marcial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Naxara found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
San Marcial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Naxara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Naxara VS San Marcial
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Naxara
(Home) 27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0 UD Barbastro
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0 Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2 Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0 Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2 Naxara
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0 UD Barbastro
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2 Olot
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1 Alaves B
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0 Beasain
12 Apr
Naxara
2 : 0 SD Logrones
Page 1 of 4
San Marcial
(Away) 27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1 San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1 San Marcial
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
03 May
Haro Deportivo
0 : 0 San Marcial
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2 San Marcial
02 Apr
Comillas CF
0 : 2 San Marcial
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 116:20 | 95 |
| 2 | Naxara | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 117:30 | 91 |
| 3 | SD Logrones | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 110:25 | 91 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 115:40 | 91 |
| 5 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 115:33 | 91 |
| 6 | Varea | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 91:28 | 85 |
| 7 | Alfaro | 38 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 78:56 | 75 |
| 8 | UD Logrones B | 38 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64:45 | 65 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:60 | 45 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 45:74 | 39 |
| 11 | Vianes | 37 | 12 | 2 | 23 | 45:112 | 38 |
| 12 | CD Tedeon | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43:68 | 37 |
| 13 | Arnedo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 39:67 | 35 |
| 14 | River Ebro | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 48:80 | 35 |
| 15 | Casalarreina CF | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:78 | 33 |
| 16 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 37:85 | 33 |
| 17 | Calasancio | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 24:77 | 31 |
| 18 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 35:84 | 29 |
| 19 | San Marcial | 37 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 44:106 | 22 |
| 20 | CF Rapid | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 24:114 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
