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Naxxar Lions vs Ghajnsielem Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Ghajnsielem advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Naxxar Lions
15%
Draws
0%
Ghajnsielem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naxxar Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Naxxar Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Naxxar Lions's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Naxxar Lions have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghajnsielem, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Naxxar Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Ghajnsielem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxxar Lions Ghajnsielem
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2016 FA Trophy
Naxxar Lions vs Ghajnsielem
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxxar Lions 85 / 100
Ghajnsielem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxxar Lions Ghajnsielem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naxxar Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naxxar Lions scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Ghajnsielem has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ghajnsielem has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naxxar Lions VS Ghajnsielem
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxxar Lions

(Home)
20 Sept
Naxxar Lions
3 : 1
Zebbug
12 Sept
Pieta
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
10 May
Naxxar Lions
0 : 1
Mosta FC
02 May
Marsaxlokk
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
26 Apr
Gzira
0 : 0
Naxxar Lions
Page 1 of 7

Ghajnsielem

(Away)
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0
Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0
Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1
Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1
Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb 2
Xghajra 1
TBD -
Nadur -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
St. Lawrence -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratory -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/64-finals
Victoria Wanderers 3
St. Venera 0
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Xewkija 6
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 7
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida 1
Luqa 0
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem 3
Kalkara 2
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
Mdina 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar 2
Xbiex 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 0
Kirkop 4
St. Lawrence 3
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Xaghra 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 0
Oratory 5
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/32-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Melita 1
Zabbar 1
Mgarr 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa 4
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi 1
Xewkija 4
Sirens 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Nadur 4
Siggiewi 3
St. George's FC 2
Msida 0
Mqabba FC 1
Ghajnsielem 4
Naxxar Lions 1
Zejtun 1
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 3
Mellieha 2
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
Munxar 0
Gharghur 8
Pieta 1
Kirkop 0
St. Lawrence 0
Lija 5
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
San Gwann 4
Zebbug 2
Fgura 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea 7
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 5
Qrendi 2
Oratory 1
Gudja 0
Swieqi 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/16-finals
Victoria Wanderers 5
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 0
St. Andrews 3
Marsa 3
Xewkija 2
Sirens 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 2
Nadur 0
Siggiewi 0
Mqabba FC 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 0
Floriana 5
Tarxien 6
Gharghur 0
Pieta 0
Lija 2
Valletta 1
San Gwann 0
Zebbug 1
Balzan FC 3
Senglea 3
Hibernians 2
Gzira 2
Vittoriosa 3
Qrendi 1
Swieqi 0
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
1/8-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
St. Andrews 0
Marsa 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 1
Mqabba FC 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Floriana 4
Tarxien 3
Lija 0
Valletta 0
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 2
Vittoriosa 1
Qrendi 0
Sliema 5
Quarter-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Pembroke 0
Hamrun 0
Floriana 2
Tarxien 2
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 0
Sliema 1
Semi-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
Floriana 3
Tarxien 0
Sliema 3
Final
Floriana 2
Sliema 0