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Nchanga Rangers vs Indeni Prediction & H2H Stats

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025 Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
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Match Events

85' Event
Itaka C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nchanga Rangers in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nchanga Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nchanga Rangers
15%
Draws
36%
Indeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nchanga Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nchanga Rangers have won more games recently than Indeni.
  • Model gives Nchanga Rangers a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Indeni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nchanga Rangers Indeni
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 0.81 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Indeni
1:0
Nov 27, 2024 Super League
Indeni vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0
Nov 15, 2014 Super League
Indeni vs Nchanga Rangers
0:1
Jun 21, 2014 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Indeni
2:1
Aug 18, 2012 Super League
Indeni vs Nchanga Rangers
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nchanga Rangers 58 / 100
Indeni 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nchanga Rangers Indeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nchanga Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indeni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Nchanga Rangers found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Indeni registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nchanga Rangers VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nchanga Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Nchanga Rangers
0 : 1
Zanaco
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Indeni

(Away)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Indeni
09 Apr
Indeni
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Indeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)