Sport Picks

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ND Gorica vs Dravinja

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Nova Gorica, Nova Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Salisu N.
54' Event
Kopac M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between ND Gorica and Dravinja finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
ND Gorica
20%
Draws
10%
Dravinja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • ND Gorica haven't matched Dravinja's recent run of results.
  • ND Gorica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 20%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ND Gorica Dravinja
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Dravinja
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs ND Gorica
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Dravinja
0:3
Oct 12, 2024 2. SNL
Dravinja vs ND Gorica
0:3
Mar 16, 2024 2. SNL
Dravinja vs ND Gorica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Salisu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopac M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ND Gorica 85 / 100
Dravinja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ND Gorica Dravinja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ND Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravinja has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

ND Gorica's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ND Gorica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ND Gorica VS Dravinja
1.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ND Gorica

(Home)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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Dravinja

(Away)
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
16 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 3
Bilje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)