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Ndanda vs Kinondoni MC Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Makasi K.
70' Event
Oviedo A.
77' Event
Samatta M.

AI Match Summary

Ndanda in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ndanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ndanda
20%
Draws
0%
Kinondoni MC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ndanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ndanda average 0.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Kinondoni MC's 0.72.
  • Ndanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 20%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ndanda Kinondoni MC
Matches Played 29 46
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 31
Goals Scored 0.76 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Kinondoni MC
2:1
Sep 29, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Ndanda
1:1
Mar 17, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Kinondoni MC
2:0
Oct 31, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Ndanda
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ndanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Makasi K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oviedo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kinondoni MC Compare

Top Goalscorer Samatta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ndanda 85 / 100
Kinondoni MC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ndanda Kinondoni MC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ndanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kinondoni MC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 46 outings.

Kinondoni MC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ndanda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kinondoni MC
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ndanda

(Home)
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1
Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Kinondoni MC

(Away)
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3
Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)