Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nea Ionia vs Amarynthiakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nea Ionia in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nea Ionia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nea Ionia
6%
Draws
4%
Amarynthiakos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nea Ionia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nea Ionia have won more games recently than Amarynthiakos.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nea Ionia taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nea Ionia here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Nea Ionia Clean Sheet 20%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Ionia Amarynthiakos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Nea Ionia vs Amarynthiakos
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Nea Ionia
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Nea Ionia vs Amarynthiakos
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Ionia 85 / 100
Amarynthiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Ionia Amarynthiakos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amarynthiakos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Amarynthiakos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nea Ionia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nea Ionia VS Amarynthiakos
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%