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Nea Salamis vs Apea Akrotiriou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Cyprus Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Nea Salamis at 2.17 goals for, 1.1 against; Apea Akrotiriou at 1.29 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Nea Salamis slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.61 vs 1.15, favoring Nea Salamis. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nea Salamis
20%
Draws
52%
Apea Akrotiriou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apea Akrotiriou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nea Salamis come out ahead of Apea Akrotiriou on wins alone.
  • Nea Salamis are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Nea Salamis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nea Salamis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 20%
Apea Akrotiriou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Salamis Apea Akrotiriou
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.61 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs Apea Akrotiriou
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Salamis 40 / 100
Apea Akrotiriou 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Salamis Apea Akrotiriou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Salamis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nea Salamis scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Apea Akrotiriou let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nea Salamis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nea Salamis VS Apea Akrotiriou
2.63 Goals Scored 0.8
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 20%
63% Over 2.5 20%
63% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Salamis

(Home)
10 Oct
APOEL
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
03 Oct
Ermis
0 : 3
Nea Salamis
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
Page 1 of 6

Apea Akrotiriou

(Away)
10 Oct
Apea Akrotiriou
0 : 0
Kitiou
19 Sept
Digenis Akritas
0 : 1
Apea Akrotiriou
12 Sept
Apea Akrotiriou
3 : 3
Doxa
25 Apr
Apea Akrotiriou
2 : 1
Ethnikos Latsion
21 Apr
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0 : 2
Apea Akrotiriou
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AEK Larnaca -
Akritas Chloraka -
Omonia 29th May -
Polemidion -
Doxa -
Ol. Nicosia -
Kitiou -
Krasava -
Aris Limassol -
Achnas -
Omonia Aradippou -
Digenis Akritas -
AEL Limassol -
Iraklis Yerolakkou -
Nea Salamis -
Apea Akrotiriou -
Karmiotissa -
Ermis -
APOEL -
Halkanoras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -