Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neath Athletic vs Afan Lido

Wales Wales

League Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event

AI Match Summary

Afan Lido in this League Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Neath Athletic
20%
Draws
51%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Afan Lido haven't matched Neath Athletic's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Afan Lido's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Neath Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Afan Lido, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Afan Lido here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 19%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neath Athletic Afan Lido
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.73 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2012 League Cup
Afan Lido vs Neath Athletic
2:1
Mar 20, 2012 League Cup
Neath Athletic vs Afan Lido
0:1
Oct 30, 2011 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Afan Lido
1:1
Aug 26, 2011 Cymru Premier
Afan Lido vs Neath Athletic
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neath Athletic 28 / 100
Afan Lido 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neath Athletic Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neath Athletic scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Afan Lido has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Neath Athletic stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afan Lido
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neath Athletic

(Home)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Afan Lido

(Away)
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Afan Lido 2
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Port Talbot 3
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Neath Athletic -
TNS -
TBD -
Bala 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Bangor City -
TBD -
Prestatyn 2
Newtown 3
Quarter-finals
Afan Lido 2
Port Talbot 0
Llanelli 2
Neath Athletic 4
TNS 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Bangor City 2
Newtown 6
Semi-finals
Afan Lido 3
Neath Athletic 1
TNS 3
Newtown 3
Final
Afan Lido 2
Newtown 1