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Neath Athletic vs Bala

Wales Wales

Premier 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Trundle L.
54' Event
Trundle L.
68'
Jones C.

AI Match Summary

Neath Athletic in this Premier 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neath Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Neath Athletic
15%
Draws
59%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neath Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Bala.
  • Model gives Bala a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 19%
Bala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neath Athletic Bala
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.73 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Neath Athletic
2:2
Feb 12, 2012 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Bala
2:0
Nov 27, 2011 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Neath Athletic
0:0
Sep 25, 2011 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Bala
4:0
Dec 12, 2010 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Neath Athletic
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neath Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Trundle L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neath Athletic 12 / 100
Bala 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neath Athletic Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neath Athletic's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bala let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Neath Athletic stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bala
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neath Athletic

(Home)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 23 5 4 75:31 74
2 Bangor City 32 22 3 7 72:45 69
3 Neath Athletic 32 18 8 6 61:36 62
4 Llanelli 32 18 5 9 63:37 59
5 Bala 32 14 7 11 48:41 49
6 Prestatyn 32 8 4 20 41:63 28
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)