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Neath Athletic vs Newport

World World

Club Friendly 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
23' Event
41' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2011 game between Neath Athletic and Newport finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Neath Athletic
35%
Draws
28%
Newport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Neath Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Neath Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Newport a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 15%
Newport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neath Athletic Newport
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2011 Club Friendly
Neath Athletic vs Newport
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neath Athletic 27 / 100
Newport 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neath Athletic Newport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Neath Athletic scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Newport let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Neath Athletic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Newport
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neath Athletic

(Home)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
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Newport

(Away)
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0
Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1
Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2
Tranmere
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