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Nebbi Central vs Onduparaka

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Nebbi Central Logo

Nebbi Central

1 - 1
FT
Onduparaka Logo

Onduparaka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Nebbi Central and Onduparaka finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nebbi Central
30%
Draws
39%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Onduparaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nebbi Central come out ahead of Onduparaka on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nebbi Central taking it.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebbi Central Onduparaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.23 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Onduparaka
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Nebbi Central
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebbi Central 42 / 100
Onduparaka 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebbi Central Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Onduparaka conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Nebbi Central stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nebbi Central VS Onduparaka
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebbi Central

(Home)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

Onduparaka

(Away)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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