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Nebitci vs Arkadag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arkadag in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arkadag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nebitci
15%
Draws
57%
Arkadag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Nebitci haven't matched Arkadag's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Arkadag taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arkadag have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 10%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebitci Arkadag
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 33
Draws 4 0
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 0.93 3.59
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Arkadag
2:4
Jun 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Nebitci
4:1
Apr 26, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Arkadag
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Nebitci
4:1
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Arkadag
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebitci 10 / 100
Arkadag 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebitci Arkadag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Nebitci's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arkadag let in goals in 35% of their last 34 matches.

Nebitci has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nebitci VS Arkadag
1.25 Goals Scored 3.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebitci

(Home)
24 Oct
FC Asgabat
2 : 0
Nebitci
17 Oct
Nebitci
3 : 0
Merw
11 Oct
Nebitci
2 : 1
Sagadam
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
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Arkadag

(Away)
19 Oct
Arkadag
4 : 0
Sagadam
14 Oct
Al Jazira
2 : 1
Arkadag
03 Oct
Arkadag
5 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
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