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Nebitci vs FC Asgabat Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Nebitci and FC Asgabat finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nebitci
35%
Draws
32%
FC Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC Asgabat haven't matched Nebitci's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nebitci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 14%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebitci FC Asgabat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs FC Asgabat
1:1
May 24, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Nebitci
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs FC Asgabat
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs FC Asgabat
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Nebitci
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebitci 41 / 100
FC Asgabat 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebitci FC Asgabat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Asgabat let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Nebitci scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: FC Asgabat has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nebitci VS FC Asgabat
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebitci

(Home)
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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FC Asgabat

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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