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Nebitci vs Sagadam

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Yokary Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nebitci
33%
Draws
27%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nebitci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nebitci have won more games recently than Sagadam.
  • Nebitci are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Yokary Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 20%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebitci Sagadam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1
May 9, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebitci 40 / 100
Sagadam 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebitci Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebitci scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sagadam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Sagadam's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nebitci VS Sagadam
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebitci

(Home)
20 Jun
Altyn Asyr
4 : 2
Nebitci
13 Jun
Nebitci
0 : 4
Ahal
07 Jun
Arkadag
4 : 1
Nebitci
30 May
Nebitci
1 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
24 May
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Nebitci
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Sagadam

(Away)
20 Jun
Merw
2 : 0
Sagadam
13 Jun
Sagadam
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
07 Jun
Ahal
1 : 0
Sagadam
30 May
Sagadam
1 : 4
Arkadag
23 May
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 0
Sagadam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arkadag282800105:1584
2Ahal28174754:2655
3Altyn Asyr28165754:3553
4Sagadam28127932:3243
5Nebitci28961322:4133
6FC Asgabat28731823:5424
7Kopetdag Asgabat28352021:7214
8Merw28262016:5212
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