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Nebitci vs Sagadam

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Nebitci and Sagadam finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nebitci
20%
Draws
44%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sagadam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nebitci's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 17%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebitci Sagadam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1
May 16, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebitci 41 / 100
Sagadam 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebitci Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sagadam let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Nebitci has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sagadam lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Nebitci found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nebitci VS Sagadam
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebitci

(Home)
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
15 Aug
Merw
0 : 1
Nebitci
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Sagadam

(Away)
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
15 Aug
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Sagadam
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