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Nebitci vs Sagadam

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Nebitci and Sagadam finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nebitci
35%
Draws
35%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Nebitci and Sagadam close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 19%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebitci Sagadam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1
May 16, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebitci 31 / 100
Sagadam 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebitci Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nebitci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebitci scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Sagadam has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Nebitci went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nebitci VS Sagadam
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebitci

(Home)
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
15 Aug
Merw
0 : 1
Nebitci
07 Aug
Sagadam
1 : 1
Nebitci
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Sagadam

(Away)
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
15 Aug
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Sagadam
07 Aug
Sagadam
1 : 1
Nebitci
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