Sport Picks

Uganda

Premier League MTN Omondi Stadium

Buhimba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NEC FC play Buhimba in the Premier League. NEC FC are favorites here. Recently, NEC FC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. Buhimba averaged 0.53 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, NEC FC won 2, Buhimba won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for NEC FC and 0.13 for Buhimba. This points to a NEC FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

NEC FC

23%

Draws

12%

Buhimba

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

NEC FC picked up more points recently compared to Buhimba.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

NEC FC Clean Sheet 36%

Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NEC FC	Buhimba
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	14	4
Draws	11	3
Losses	6	23
Goals Scored	1.03	0.53
Goals Conceded	0.71	2.2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League

NEC FC vs Buhimba

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Jan 27, 2026 Premier League

Buhimba vs NEC FC

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEC FC 66 / 100

Buhimba 13 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NEC FC Buhimba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC FC Win (1)

Secondary Pick NEC FC & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NEC FC attacking → ← attacking Buhimba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEC FC scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Buhimba let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

NEC FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Buhimba lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 15

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.13

0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vipers	30	19	10	1	55:17	67
2	Kampala City	30	19	5	6	46:22	62
3	Villa	30	18	7	5	47:17	61
4	Kitara	30	16	8	6	43:22	56
5	Entebbe UPPC	30	14	9	7	30:20	51
6	NEC FC	30	13	12	5	31:22	51
7	Police	30	13	8	9	42:35	47
8	Maroons	30	9	11	10	26:27	38
9	BUL	30	9	10	11	30:33	37
10	Express FC	30	9	10	11	28:31	37
11	Uganda Revenue	30	5	16	9	27:30	31
12	Mbarara City	30	6	9	15	26:46	27
13	Lugazi	30	5	10	15	19:36	25
14	UPDF FC	30	5	7	18	24:41	22
15	Calvary	30	4	9	17	14:39	21
16	Buhimba	30	4	3	23	16:66	15