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NEC FC vs Uganda Revenue - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League MTN Omondi Stadium, Bugoloobi
NEC FC Logo

NEC FC

4 - 1
FT
Uganda Revenue Logo

Uganda Revenue

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mugulusi I.
Assist: Ssenyonga M.
14' Event
Jarieko J.
Assist: Ajo E.
42' Event
Basangwa R.
Assist: Lubwama E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between NEC FC and Uganda Revenue finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NEC FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
NEC FC
20%
Draws
28%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • NEC FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans NEC FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 68%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEC FC Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premier League
NEC FC vs Uganda Revenue
4:1
Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
NEC FC vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
Oct 2, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs NEC FC
1:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
NEC FC vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
Dec 5, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs NEC FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEC FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Basangwa R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jarieko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugulusi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEC FC 95 / 100
Uganda Revenue 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEC FC Uganda Revenue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEC FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: NEC FC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Uganda Revenue let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

NEC FC VS Uganda Revenue
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NEC FC

(Home)
08 Oct
NEC FC
0 : 0
Express FC
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
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Uganda Revenue

(Away)
09 Oct
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Kampala City
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Villa 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
4 Entebbe UPPC 5 3 1 1 6:2 10
5 Blacks Power 5 3 0 2 5:7 9
6 Kitara 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
7 Police 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
8 Kampala City 5 2 1 2 2:4 7
9 Vipers 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
10 Maroons 5 2 0 3 8:6 6
11 Lugazi 5 2 0 3 4:9 6
12 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
13 Express FC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Uganda Revenue 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15 Ntugasaze 5 1 0 4 3:11 3
16 Mbarara City 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
17 Kataka 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Kigezi HomeBoyz 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)