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Necaxa U21 vs Juarez U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Necaxa U21 host Juarez U21 in the Liga MX U21. Little to choose between these two on current form. Juarez U21 have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Necaxa U21 have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Necaxa U21 have won 1 to Juarez U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.00, favoring Necaxa U21. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Necaxa U21
15%
Draws
28%
Juarez U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez U21 haven't matched Necaxa U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Necaxa U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U21 Juarez U21
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 16 15
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Necaxa U21
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Juarez U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U21 58 / 100
Juarez U21 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U21 Juarez U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Necaxa U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Juarez U21 let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Juarez U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa U21 VS Juarez U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa U21

(Home)
16 Oct
Necaxa U21
1 : 2
Atlas U21
11 Oct
Pachuca U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
Page 1 of 6

Juarez U21

(Away)
20 Oct
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Atlante U21
17 Oct
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
10 Oct
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 12 12 0 0 26:9 33
2 Club Leon U21 13 11 0 2 24:14 29
3 Guadalajara Chivas U21 13 7 0 6 20:20 22
4 Club Tijuana U21 11 7 0 4 18:13 21
5 Club America U21 12 6 0 6 18:16 19
6 Santos Laguna U21 12 6 0 6 15:16 19
7 Necaxa U21 13 7 0 6 14:17 19
8 Atlante U21 13 6 0 7 19:24 19
9 UNAM Pumas U21 12 5 0 7 14:15 18
10 Atletico San Luis U21 13 7 0 6 24:27 18
11 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
12 Monterrey U21 11 6 0 5 22:18 16
13 Tigres UANL U21 13 5 0 8 19:24 16
14 Atlas U21 12 4 0 8 15:16 15
15 Juarez U21 13 5 0 8 11:16 15
16 Cruz Azul U21 12 6 0 6 21:19 14
17 Pachuca U21 12 3 0 9 12:19 14
18 Queretaro U21 12 2 0 10 15:25 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)