Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Victoria

Atlante

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Necaxa play Atlante in the Liga MX. It looks like a close match. Recently, Necaxa averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Atlante averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Necaxa won 5, Atlante won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2016 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Necaxa and 1.44 for Atlante. This points to a Necaxa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Necaxa

20%

Draws

36%

Atlante

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Necaxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Necaxa picked up more points recently compared to Atlante.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Necaxa Clean Sheet 16%

Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Necaxa	Atlante
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	11
Draws	6	10
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.64	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2016 Liga de Expansion MX

Necaxa vs Atlante

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Apr 28, 2016 Liga de Expansion MX

Atlante vs Necaxa

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Jan 10, 2016 Liga de Expansion MX

Necaxa vs Atlante

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jul 25, 2015 Liga de Expansion MX

Atlante vs Necaxa

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Apr 4, 2015 Liga de Expansion MX

Atlante vs Necaxa

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa 43 / 100

Atlante 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Necaxa Atlante

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Necaxa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Necaxa attacking → ← attacking Atlante

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Atlante let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Necaxa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atlante lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 43

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88