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Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Monreal R.
90' Event
Tello I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Necaxa and Atletico San Luis finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Necaxa
15%
Draws
76%
Atletico San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico San Luis come out ahead of Necaxa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletico San Luis a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Necaxa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Necaxa Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa Atletico San Luis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis
4:1
Dec 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis
2:0
Oct 27, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa
3:4
Jan 25, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa Compare

Top Goalscorer Monreal R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tello I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atletico San Luis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa 19 / 100
Atletico San Luis 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa Atletico San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Luis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Necaxa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Necaxa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa VS Atletico San Luis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa

(Home)
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
29 Aug
Necaxa
1 : 3
Cruz Azul
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Atletico San Luis

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
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