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Necaxa vs Club Atletico Morelia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Necaxa and Club Atletico Morelia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Necaxa
17%
Draws
13%
Club Atletico Morelia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Necaxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Necaxa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Necaxa a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Necaxa Clean Sheet 20%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa Club Atletico Morelia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Necaxa vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:2
Oct 5, 2019 Liga MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Necaxa
2:3
Jan 27, 2019 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Club Atletico Morelia
0:0
Aug 11, 2018 Liga MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Necaxa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa 67 / 100
Club Atletico Morelia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa Club Atletico Morelia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Necaxa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Club Atletico Morelia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa VS Club Atletico Morelia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa

(Home)
17 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Atlante
04 Jul
Atlas
0 : 0
Necaxa
01 Jul
Correcaminos
3 : 6
Necaxa
20 Jun
Necaxa
1 : 0
Club Atletico Morelia
27 Apr
Cruz Azul
4 : 1
Necaxa
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Club Atletico Morelia

(Away)
05 Jul
Club Atletico Morelia
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
20 Jun
Necaxa
1 : 0
Club Atletico Morelia
26 Apr
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
23 Apr
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Club Atletico Morelia
19 Apr
Jaiba Brava
1 : 0
Club Atletico Morelia
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