Sport Picks

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Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
01:06 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Necaxa W host UNAM Pumas W in the Liga MX Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Necaxa W have averaged 0.88 scored and 3.38 conceded recently, against UNAM Pumas W's 1.13 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor UNAM Pumas W slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.25, favoring UNAM Pumas W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Necaxa W
6%
Draws
90%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UNAM Pumas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNAM Pumas W lately — more wins on the board than Necaxa W.
  • Model gives UNAM Pumas W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UNAM Pumas W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Necaxa W
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:4
Nov 2, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Necaxa W
1:2
Feb 17, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa W 10 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UNAM Pumas W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Necaxa W scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

UNAM Pumas W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa W VS UNAM Pumas W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa W

(Home)
25 Apr
Puebla W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
05 Apr
Necaxa W
1 : 6
Club Tijuana W
01 Apr
Necaxa W
0 : 6
Juarez W
28 Mar
Atlas W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
21 Mar
Toluca W
5 : 1
Necaxa W
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas W

(Away)
25 Apr
Cruz Azul W
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
05 Apr
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 2
Puebla W
02 Apr
Monterrey W
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
28 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 1
Club Leon W
22 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos Laguna W00000:00
2Tigres UANL W00000:00
3Monterrey W00000:00
4Cruz Azul W00000:00
5Toluca W00000:00
6Club Leon W00000:00
7Queretaro W00000:00
8Juarez W00000:00
9Atlante W00000:00
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas W00000:00
2Club Tijuana W00000:00
3Pachuca W00000:00
4Club America W00000:00
5Atlas W00000:00
6Guadalajara Chivas W00000:00
7Necaxa W00000:00
8Puebla W00000:00
9Atletico San Luis W00000:00
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)