Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ribeiro S.
Assist: Torres C.
39' Event
Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T.
45'
Bracamonte F.

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAM Pumas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Necaxa W
15%
Draws
85%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNAM Pumas W lately — more wins on the board than Necaxa W.
  • Model gives UNAM Pumas W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UNAM Pumas W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 27 14
Goals Scored 0.52 1.66
Goals Conceded 3.55 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:2
Jan 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Necaxa W
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:4
Nov 2, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Necaxa W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gielnik E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa W 10 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAM Pumas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UNAM Pumas W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Necaxa W scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

UNAM Pumas W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa W VS UNAM Pumas W
0.75 Goals Scored 2
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa W

(Home)
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1
Necaxa W
24 Aug
Necaxa W
0 : 7
Club America W
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UNAM Pumas W

(Away)
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
21 Aug
UNAM Pumas W
5 : 0
Queretaro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 8 7 0 1 33:9 21
2 Tigres UANL W 8 7 0 1 28:8 21
3 Juarez W 8 6 0 2 9:5 18
4 Toluca W 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
5 Club Leon W 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
6 Santos Laguna W 8 4 0 4 11:16 12
7 Cruz Azul W 8 4 0 4 11:20 12
8 Atlante W 8 2 0 6 6:12 6
9 Queretaro W 8 2 0 6 10:20 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 8 7 1 0 37:7 22
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
3 Atletico San Luis W 8 5 0 3 21:15 15
4 UNAM Pumas W 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Atlas W 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
6 Pachuca W 8 2 1 5 9:12 7
7 Club Tijuana W 8 2 0 6 11:19 6
8 Puebla W 8 1 0 7 12:36 3
9 Necaxa W 8 0 0 8 3:32 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)