Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Amaro J.
29' Event
Bolanos N.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Terzian Jensen A. In: Isabel Melendez Villarreal A.
Out: Terzian Jensen A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Necaxa W and UNAM Pumas W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Necaxa W
6%
Draws
90%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UNAM Pumas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UNAM Pumas W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UNAM Pumas W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Necaxa W
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:4
Nov 2, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Necaxa W
1:2
Feb 17, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa W 10 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Necaxa W's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UNAM Pumas W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa W VS UNAM Pumas W
0.88 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa W

(Home)
25 Apr
Puebla W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
05 Apr
Necaxa W
1 : 6
Club Tijuana W
01 Apr
Necaxa W
0 : 6
Juarez W
28 Mar
Atlas W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
21 Mar
Toluca W
5 : 1
Necaxa W
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UNAM Pumas W

(Away)
25 Apr
Cruz Azul W
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
05 Apr
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 2
Puebla W
02 Apr
Monterrey W
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
28 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 1
Club Leon W
22 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Clausura - Play Offs)