Sport Picks
Needham Market vs Barwell
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Jarvis D.
56'
56'
Cowling M.
88'
88'
Chambers S.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Needham Market and Barwell finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Needham Market.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Needham Market
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Needham Market carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Needham Market's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 16%
Barwell Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Needham Market | Barwell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Barwell
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Needham Market
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Barwell
2:1
Dec 2, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Needham Market
1:2
Apr 22, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Needham Market
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Needham Market Compare
Top Goalscorer Cowling M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chambers S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Barwell Compare
Top Goalscorer Jarvis D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Needham Market 84 / 100
Barwell 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Needham Market Barwell
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Needham Market found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Barwell has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Needham Market went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Needham Market VS Barwell
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Needham Market
(Home) 19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1 Stanway Rovers
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0 Needham Market
31 Aug
Needham Market
3 : 3 Peterborough Sports
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1 Stanway Rovers
31 Aug
Needham Market
3 : 3 Peterborough Sports
22 Aug
Needham Market
0 : 1 Halesowen
Page 1 of 3
Barwell
(Away) 29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0 Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2 Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1 Barwell
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0 Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2 Barwell
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1 Barwell
03 Apr
Alvechurch
2 : 1 Barwell
14 Mar
Worcester
2 : 1 Barwell
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
