Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wingate & Finchley have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Needham Market have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.78. Head-to-head, Needham Market have won 2 to Wingate & Finchley's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 30, 2017, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Needham Market. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Needham Market
15%
Draws
40%
Wingate & Finchley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Needham Market

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Needham Market's 1.78 goals per match outpaces what Wingate & Finchley have produced (1.57).
  • Win probability leans Needham Market's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Wingate & Finchley, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 14%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Needham Market Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Needham Market
1:1
Aug 19, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley
0:1
Feb 11, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley
1:0
Oct 8, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Needham Market
0:1
Sep 8, 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Needham Market
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Needham Market 48 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Needham Market Wingate & Finchley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Needham Market found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Wingate & Finchley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Needham Market remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Needham Market VS Wingate & Finchley
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Needham Market

(Home)
20 Oct
Needham Market
2 : 1
Stortford
17 Oct
Leamington
1 : 2
Needham Market
13 Oct
Bury Town
0 : 5
Needham Market
10 Oct
Needham Market
1 : 1
Anstey Nomads
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

Wingate & Finchley

(Away)
20 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 2
Carshalton
17 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 1
Stanway Rovers
13 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 0
Ramsgate
10 Oct
Dartford
2 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
Bury FC -
Prescot Cables -
Workington -
Cleethorpes -
Leek Town -
Bootle -
Ashton United -
Redcar Athletic -
Bridlington Town -
Curzon Ashton -
Avro -
Hyde -
Redditch -
Gloucester City -
Mickleover -
Alfreton -
Anstey Nomads -
Bromsgrove -
Evesham -
Halesowen -
Loughborough Students -
Stourbridge -
Bourne -
Banbury -
Kettering -
Quorn -
Egham Town -
Uxbridge -
Erith Town -
Burgess Hill -
Leatherhead -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dartford -
Three Bridges -
Whitehawk -
St. Albans -
Aveley -
Carshalton -
Enfield Town -
Hanworth Villa -
Needham Market -
Wingate & Finchley -
Hastings -
Waltham Abbey -
Berkhamsted Town -
Cray Wanderers -
Faversham -
Newmarket -
Deal Town -
Hashtag -
Takeley -
Chertsey Town -
Weymouth -
Sholing -
Didcot -
Poole Town -
Taunton Town -
Wimborne -
Gosport Borough -
Chichester City -
Bath City -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/64-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/32-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -