Sport Picks
Neftchi Fargona vs Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbekistan
Super League Istiqlol Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Neftchi Fargona host Nasaf Qarshi in the Super League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Neftchi Fargona at 2.13 goals for, 0.38 against; Nasaf Qarshi at 1 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Neftchi Fargona slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.69 - 0.69) back Neftchi Fargona to edge this. Neftchi Fargona in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftchi Fargona has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nasaf Qarshi.
- Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Neftchi Fargona.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftchi Fargona | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftchi Fargona scored in 80% of their last 25 games.
Nasaf Qarshi let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Neftchi Fargona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Nasaf Qarshi lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 8 | OKMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | 0 |