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Stadium Background

Neftchi Fargona vs Sherdor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019 Istiqlol Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neftchi Fargona in this Pro Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftchi Fargona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Neftchi Fargona
6%
Draws
4%
Sherdor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Neftchi Fargona have won more games recently than Sherdor.
  • Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Neftchi Fargona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 20%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftchi Fargona Sherdor
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona
0:2
Sep 18, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Sherdor
3:0
Aug 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona
2:4
May 15, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Sherdor
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftchi Fargona 85 / 100
Sherdor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftchi Fargona Sherdor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Neftchi Fargona scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sherdor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Neftchi Fargona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neftchi Fargona VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185