Sport Picks
Neftci Baku vs Araz PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Palms Sports Arena, Baku 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Neftci Baku and Araz PFK finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftci Baku.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftci Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Neftci Baku's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftci Baku | Araz PFK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftci Baku Compare
Araz PFK Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Neftci Baku scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Araz PFK has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Neftci Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neftci Baku
(Home)Araz PFK
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | SumQayit FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
