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Neftci Baku vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mahmudov E.
35' Event
Korine R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Neftci Baku and Hapoel Tel Aviv finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Neftci Baku
30%
Draws
34%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Neftci Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Neftci Baku a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftci Baku Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Neftci Baku vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahmudov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftci Baku 36 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftci Baku Hapoel Tel Aviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftci Baku scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Neftci Baku stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftci Baku VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%