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Neftci Baku vs Turan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Palms Sports Arena, Baku
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neftci Baku host Turan in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Neftci Baku have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Turan's 1.2 scored and 0.77 conceded. Head-to-head, Neftci Baku have won 1 to Turan's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.88) point toward Neftci Baku. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Neftci Baku
20%
Draws
33%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftci Baku lately — more wins on the board than Turan.
  • Model gives Neftci Baku a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Turan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftci Baku Turan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Turan
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Neftci Baku
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Turan
0:1
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Neftci Baku
1:2
Mar 10, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Turan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftci Baku 85 / 100
Turan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftci Baku Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftci Baku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftci Baku's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Neftci Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Turan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Neftci Baku VS Turan
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftci Baku

(Home)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

Turan

(Away)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)