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Neftekhimik vs Leningradets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neftekhimik host Leningradets in the FNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Neftekhimik at 0.97 goals for, 1.43 against; Leningradets at 1.13 for, 1.8 against. Head-to-head, Neftekhimik have won 1 to Leningradets's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 20, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Leningradets to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Neftekhimik
15%
Draws
85%
Leningradets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leningradets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Leningradets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 17%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftekhimik Leningradets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2024 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Leningradets
1:2
Oct 22, 2023 FNL
Leningradets vs Neftekhimik
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 31 / 100
Leningradets 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftekhimik Leningradets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leningradets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leningradets conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Leningradets's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Neftekhimik scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftekhimik VS Leningradets
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftekhimik

(Home)
17 Oct
Kamaz
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4
Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
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Leningradets

(Away)
17 Oct
S. Kostroma
2 : 0
Leningradets
14 Oct
Leningradets
2 : 0
Luki-Energiya
10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 14 12 1 1 43:15 37
2 PFC Sochi 14 9 2 3 23:14 29
3 Torpedo Moscow 14 8 3 3 26:11 27
4 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
5 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
6 Ural 14 7 4 3 22:10 25
7 Ufa 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
9 R. Volgograd 14 5 3 6 22:17 18
10 Ulyanovsk 15 5 3 7 20:22 18
11 Arsenal Tula 14 4 4 6 15:26 16
12 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
13 Yenisey 14 3 5 6 16:27 14
14 Kamaz 14 3 4 7 16:23 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 SKA Khabarovsk 14 1 4 9 15:28 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)