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Neftochimic Burgas vs Asenovets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East efbet Arena, Burgas
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AI Match Summary

Neftochimic Burgas in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftochimic Burgas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Neftochimic Burgas
6%
Draws
4%
Asenovets
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftochimic Burgas lately — more wins on the board than Asenovets.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Neftochimic Burgas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 20%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftochimic Burgas Asenovets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Asenovets
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Neftochimic Burgas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftochimic Burgas 85 / 100
Asenovets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftochimic Burgas Asenovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftochimic Burgas found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Asenovets conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Neftochimic Burgas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftochimic Burgas VS Asenovets
2 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftochimic Burgas

(Home)
08 Jul
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 1
Rozova Dolina
29 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Neftochimic Burgas
23 May
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
16 May
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
13 May
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6

Asenovets

(Away)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar362943116:2291
2Maritsa Plovdiv36236790:4075
3Neftochimic Burgas36199853:3966
4Yambol 1915362061072:4166
5Levski Karlovo362051164:5365
6Maritsa Milevo361791064:3260
7Spartak Plovdiv361591264:5854
8Sozopol361661450:3854
9OFC Haskovo361571452:4852
10Zagorets3613101352:6049
11Rozova Dolina361461645:5248
12Gigant Saedinenie361451756:5947
13Rodopa Smolyan361441851:7046
14Atletik Kuklen361332043:7842
15Sekirovo Rakovski36981930:5335
16Dimitrovgrad361052142:8235
17Lok. Plovdiv II36962144:5333
18Rakovski 201136832546:9427
19Asenovets36652530:9223
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