Sport Picks
Neftochimic Burgas vs Maritsa Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East efbet Arena, Burgas 
AI Match Summary
Neftochimic Burgas host Maritsa Plovdiv in the Third League - South-East. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Neftochimic Burgas at 1.72 goals for, 1.03 against; Maritsa Plovdiv at 1.71 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Neftochimic Burgas have won 1 to Maritsa Plovdiv's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.00) back Neftochimic Burgas to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftochimic Burgas carry the better recent record into this one.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on Neftochimic Burgas taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftochimic Burgas | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftochimic Burgas found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Maritsa Plovdiv let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Neftochimic Burgas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neftochimic Burgas
(Home)Maritsa Plovdiv
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
