Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neftochimic Burgas vs Ravda

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2009/2010 efbet Arena, Burgas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2009/2010 game between Neftochimic Burgas and Ravda finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftochimic Burgas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Neftochimic Burgas
15%
Draws
26%
Ravda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ravda come out ahead of Neftochimic Burgas on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Neftochimic Burgas taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 20%
Ravda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftochimic Burgas Ravda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.71 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2010 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Ravda
4:1
Aug 23, 2009 Third League - South-East
Ravda vs Neftochimic Burgas
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftochimic Burgas 85 / 100
Ravda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftochimic Burgas Ravda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftochimic Burgas's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Neftochimic Burgas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Ravda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neftochimic Burgas VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftochimic Burgas

(Home)
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Maritsa Milevo
15 Aug
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 6

Ravda

(Away)
27 Oct
Malesh
3 : 0
Ravda
16 Oct
Pomorie
4 : 1
Ravda
02 Oct
Ravda
1 : 2
Nesebar
25 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ravda
18 Sept
Ravda
3 : 1
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6