Sport Picks
Neftochimic Burgas vs Yambol 1915 Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 efbet Arena, Burgas 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yambol 1915
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Yambol 1915 lately — more wins on the board than Neftochimic Burgas.
- 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 10%
Yambol 1915 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftochimic Burgas | Yambol 1915 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Neftochimic Burgas
0:2
Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Yambol 1915
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Neftochimic Burgas
2:3
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Yambol 1915 vs Neftochimic Burgas
1:0
Apr 13, 2011 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Neftochimic Burgas
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftochimic Burgas 29 / 100
Yambol 1915 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftochimic Burgas Yambol 1915
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftochimic Burgas found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Neftochimic Burgas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Yambol 1915 let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Neftochimic Burgas VS Yambol 1915
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftochimic Burgas
(Home) 26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Maritsa Milevo
08 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
0 : 2 Botev II
08 Jul
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 1 Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 3
Yambol 1915
(Away) 26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7 Yambol 1915
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5 Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7 Yambol 1915
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5 Yambol 1915
22 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Yambol 1915
08 Aug
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Yambol 1915
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5 Yambol 1915
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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