Sport Picks
Nefyn United vs Caersws FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Caersws FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Caersws FC come out ahead of Nefyn United on wins alone.
- Model gives Caersws FC a 68% chance of winning this.
- Caersws FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Caersws FC, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nefyn United Clean Sheet 20%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nefyn United | Caersws FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 17 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
Nefyn United vs Caersws FC
1:3
Oct 2, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Nefyn United vs Caersws FC
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nefyn United 10 / 100
Caersws FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nefyn United Caersws FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nefyn United scored in 90% of their last 10 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Caersws FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Nefyn United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Caersws FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nefyn United
(Home) 20 Sept
Rhostyllen
5 : 2 Nefyn United
19 Oct
Nefyn United
0 : 2 Bangor City
09 Nov
Nefyn United
1 : 3 Caersws FC
12 Oct
Nefyn United
2 : 1 Penrhyndeudraeth FC
02 Oct
Nefyn United
1 : 3 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 2
19 Oct
Nefyn United
0 : 2 Bangor City
09 Nov
Nefyn United
1 : 3 Caersws FC
12 Oct
Nefyn United
2 : 1 Penrhyndeudraeth FC
02 Oct
Nefyn United
1 : 3 Caersws FC
11 Sept
Nefyn United
3 : 2 Tywyn Bryncrug
Page 1 of 2
Caersws FC
(Away) 26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5 Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5 Caersws FC
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2 Caersws FC
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Gwalchmai 1
Port Talbot 4
Caersws FC 4
Llanidloes Town 2
Bangor City 2
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Haverfordwest 3
Holyhead 2
Goytre Utd 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Connahs Q. 5
AFC Porth 3
Bow Street 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Porthmadog 0
Bala 1
Aberaman 0
Cefn Druids 4
Llanelli 1
Aberystwyth 0
Guilsfield 1
Rhos Aelwyd 2
Cambrian United 2
Prestatyn 3
Neath Athletic 1
Rhyl 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 3
Corus Steel 0
Grange Harlequins 2
Newtown 1
Bridgend Town 2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot 3
Caersws FC 0
Bangor City 5
Haverfordwest 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Connahs Q. 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Bala 1
Cefn Druids 1
Llanelli 4
Rhos Aelwyd 1
Prestatyn 6
Rhyl 1
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 1
Bridgend Town 0
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot 0
Bangor City 3
Connahs Q. 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Llanelli 1
Prestatyn 0
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 0
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 0
Llanelli 1
TNS 0
Final
Bangor City 1
Llanelli 4
