Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011

Caersws FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nefyn United play Caersws FC in the FA Cup 2010/2011. Caersws FC are favorites here. Recently, Nefyn United averaged 1.7 goals scored and 3 conceded. Caersws FC averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Nefyn United won 0, Caersws FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 9, 2013 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Nefyn United and 1.55 for Caersws FC. This points to a Caersws FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Nefyn United

15%

Draws

64%

Caersws FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Nefyn United picked up more points recently compared to Caersws FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Nefyn United Clean Sheet 15%

Caersws FC Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nefyn United	Caersws FC
Matches Played	10	32
Wins	2	13
Draws	0	4
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	1.7	1.69
Goals Conceded	3	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2013 FA Cup

Nefyn United vs Caersws FC

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Oct 2, 2010 FA Cup

Nefyn United vs Caersws FC

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nefyn United 22 / 100

Caersws FC 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nefyn United Caersws FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Caersws FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nefyn United attacking → ← attacking Caersws FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nefyn United scored in 90% of their last 10 games.

Caersws FC let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Nefyn United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Caersws FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 43

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38