Sport Picks
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Adama City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Negele Arsi Ketema FC host Adama City in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Adama City have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Negele Arsi Ketema FC have conceded 0.86 and scored 0.86. Past meetings favor Negele Arsi Ketema FC slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.81) point toward Negele Arsi Ketema FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Negele Arsi Ketema FC come out ahead of Adama City on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Negele Arsi Ketema FC's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | Adama City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Negele Arsi Ketema FC's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Adama City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Home)Adama City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Halaba Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Adama City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sheger Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Welayta Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Fasil Kenema | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | St. Georges | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Hawassa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
